Quantitative modeling and data analysis for complex real-world systems
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ECONOMY · MANIFESTO MATH
RSP promised 7% growth. The manifesto's GDP target needs 17%.
Tests three economic targets in the RSP manifesto against compound growth arithmetic. The 7% growth promise and the $100 billion GDP target describe two different five-year futures. Only one can be true.
Is technology making us smarter or dumber? An opinion piece in Nepali
on the Reverse Flynn Effect, AI-driven cognitive offloading, and what
the global research means for Nepal's deepening education crisis.
The 2026 Iran war put 1.73 million Nepali workers in active conflict zones overnight.
We map the six impact channels, quantify the remittance exposure, and lay out
what the Balen Shah government must do - short-term and long-term.
Nepal's April 2026 fuel-crisis directive moves schools from a 6-day to a 5-day week -
aligning the country with global norms. We quantify the 3-hour weekly transition gap,
benchmark Nepal against India and the US, and map what schools can realistically do about it.
Nepal's Pradesh Structure: White Elephant or Misdiagnosed Problem?
People keep saying the seven Pradesh governments cost too much. We went to the
actual audited accounts - the Financial Comptroller General Office's Consolidated
Financial Statement - to check. The numbers tell a different story than the headlines.
We modeled all 165 FPTP constituencies and the 110-seat PR allocation before
the 2082 election. Built on a zero-sum Dirichlet model with 10,000 Monte Carlo
simulations, calibrated against 2079 results. The election wrapped on Falgun 21, 2082
and the post-mortem is now published.